A.A. Trofimuk: «Siberia Floats on Oil»

uite recently it was considered that before 2050 we would not experience a deficit in natural oil and gas resources. However, as time is going on, forecasts of scientists become more and more pessimistic. In accordance with the report prepared by the National Petroleum Council on the order of the US government, in 25 years oil and natural gas obtained from traditional sources will be able to satisfy not more than 50—60% of the world’s demand.

Can it be so hopeless? Do our grandchildren really have no chance for a worthy future, secured by sufficient resources of natural hydrocarbons?

It is believed that the future is indefinite and we choose it every moment. Let us look at one of the choises — the way proposed by Academician A. Trofimuk in his “Concept for the Creation of Large Gas and Oil Production Bases in East Siberia”, developed in 1987; we shall briefly dwell on the main ideas of this concept and compare them with the current situation in oil and gas production, as well as with the level of development of oil and gas geology and geophysics. We give the floor to Academician A. Kontorovich, who took an active part in the discussion of this concept at the time of its development.

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